Detrended

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Latest posts.

Essays and analysis without the noise. Markets, economics, and what's actually beneath the headlines.

Canada's borrowed wealth

30 Apr 2026

Canada might be getting a sovereign wealth fund. Whether Canadians ever get any wealth out of it is a different question.

Australia's coming inflation

27 Apr 2026

The Strait of Hormuz delivered the price shock. Whether it becomes inflation is up to Canberra and Martin Place.

Gas, taxes, and wishful thinking

24 Apr 2026

Comparing Australia's gas tax to Norway's is a masterclass in false equivalence that ignores physical and economic reality.

Low debt buys you optionality

17 Apr 2026

Australia has been burning its fiscal buffers in the good times, leaving it with little in the tank for the next real crisis.

Australia's two fuel crises

14 Apr 2026

How Canberra's response to the first is making the second worse.

The housing wealth illusion

12 Apr 2026

Australia's $12.3 trillion housing stock isn't a pool of misallocated capital, but a mark-to-market valuation of a policy-induced supply constraint.

The economists who cried wolf

9 Apr 2026

Argentina under Milei is a case study in how easily economists' politics can override the lessons of their own discipline.

Just another TACO Tuesday

8 Apr 2026

Trump chickened out, markets rallied, and global consumers are left footing the bill for a new toll in the Strait of Hormuz.

Free public transport and a puppy

7 Apr 2026

If you wanted to ease pressure on fuel prices, free public transport would be near the bottom of the list.

Albanese's convenient crisis

2 Apr 2026

Albanese is framing a foundational principle of prosperity as a policy failure because it makes a convenient origin story for the intervention he already wanted.