Latest posts.
Essays and analysis without the noise. Markets, economics, and what's actually beneath the headlines.
Canada's borrowed wealth
30 Apr 2026Canada might be getting a sovereign wealth fund. Whether Canadians ever get any wealth out of it is a different question.
Australia's coming inflation
27 Apr 2026The Strait of Hormuz delivered the price shock. Whether it becomes inflation is up to Canberra and Martin Place.
Gas, taxes, and wishful thinking
24 Apr 2026Comparing Australia's gas tax to Norway's is a masterclass in false equivalence that ignores physical and economic reality.
Low debt buys you optionality
17 Apr 2026Australia has been burning its fiscal buffers in the good times, leaving it with little in the tank for the next real crisis.
Australia's two fuel crises
14 Apr 2026How Canberra's response to the first is making the second worse.
The housing wealth illusion
12 Apr 2026Australia's $12.3 trillion housing stock isn't a pool of misallocated capital, but a mark-to-market valuation of a policy-induced supply constraint.
The economists who cried wolf
9 Apr 2026Argentina under Milei is a case study in how easily economists' politics can override the lessons of their own discipline.
Just another TACO Tuesday
8 Apr 2026Trump chickened out, markets rallied, and global consumers are left footing the bill for a new toll in the Strait of Hormuz.
Free public transport and a puppy
7 Apr 2026If you wanted to ease pressure on fuel prices, free public transport would be near the bottom of the list.
Albanese's convenient crisis
2 Apr 2026Albanese is framing a foundational principle of prosperity as a policy failure because it makes a convenient origin story for the intervention he already wanted.